Ukraine has gradually changed its tactics of military actions, and politics is reinforced in the Donbass.

The price of Donbass continues to grow, with each passing day “Novorossiya” is more expensive for the Kremlin, despite the growth of the ruble and the statements about “stability”. In addition nose new penalties for “Malaysian Boeing” and a number of other adventures “of the Tambovskaya criminal group of Putin” in Europe and the USA. BUT while “secret blackmail” the Western media is not published, a number of tactical solutions of Ukraine in respect of Donbass.

What fighters call “creeping offensive”, actually comes from two sides. Only now with the Ukrainian side tactics more successful and has an overall political objective – forcing to the “Minsk agreements”. Definitely, after the execution of the Minsk-2 DND and LNB will disappear. Will disappear along with their mentors, mercenaries and our entire policy on creation of “Novorossia”. The Kremlin passionately does not want the return of Russian fighters in the family, because they are building the “Novorossiya” Donetsk worse.

But Ukraine despite the sluggish negotiations, not waiting until the corpse of your enemy will float down the river, and implements including military pressure. And as training Mat for an hour has improved markedly, with the perspective of a large well-trained staff, positions of the Ukrainian army is much better than the fighters and the 8 thousandth contingent of the Russian expeditionary corps.

For example, the plant – what happens there now.

Located in the “grey area” industrial zone of the Town was a hybrid of Russian troops double strategic importance. First, it is a convenient position to attack a strong point of the APU, which is located on the territory controlled by Ukraine. Secondly, according to a source in the ATO headquarters, is a single point in the area of Avdeyevka, which provides a great view controlled by the militants Yasynuvata interchange on the route Donetsk-Konstantinovka where they regularly throw equipment and manpower from Donetsk to Konstantinovka, Gorlovka and in the opposite direction. Therefore for the terrorists, “DNR” is highly undesirable to give the industrial zone of the Ukrainian troops – the analysts wrote.

But if only the plant. This zaytsevo, and Dokuchayevsk, and relatively quiet area in the South, in Mariupol direction. Practically everywhere the Mat is moving, seemingly at a slight distance, within the neutral territories, but the pursuit of a coordinated common goal – a profitable bridgehead for a possible offensive. The militants also try to move to “neutral”, but that it is not very good.

It is clear that this tactic is no secret to the Russian side, however, it makes the enemy nervous. The fact is that despite the parity of arms in ATO zone, with a slight advantage of the separatists in the density of the air defenses and armored joints, this parity is shifted in the direction of Ukraine every day, and the ability to rapidly transfer troops Mat every day more and more increasing. And the question arises – when will be passed the point of no return, after which the Ukrainian army can conduct an offensive operation and this will result in what the operation is for the Kremlin to his plans.

Most likely, Ukraine will not be difficult to have a short operation at the Donetsk direction this year, if there is a favorable situation. About the Kremlin Kiev clearly suggests, organizing a convenient springboard for concentration of control units or lateral roads. Analysis of the situation by military experts suggests that the deep operation of the APU will not be able to spend in 2016, but here are some serious tactical strikes for the Ukrainian army is not difficult. This can lead to actual coverage of Donetsk. Further, the liberation of Donetsk, is a matter of time, possibly in 2017. The Kremlin understands this, because the Donbass as Afghanistan – the noose on his neck gradually tightened, and even a small loss in 8-10 Russian soldiers a day, an hour increase in Packed 3000 vacationers. In the case of multiple tactical operations of the APU in the area ATO , it may be all 5000. By the way local residents in groups of separatists left 20% of the rest – Russians, inhabitants of Vorkuta, the Republic of Buryatia and Murmansk, also not very experienced in military Affairs and politics, brushie packs for credits and “shoot”.

In General fighting in Avdeevka, zaytsevo and other points are largely political importance - will pressure the Kremlin, occupying neutral territory, to create a favorable bridgeheads, disorienting the enemy, forcing to think and gradually passes to the defense. To act very carefully, without violating the Minsk-2. At the same time and strengthen the sanctions regime. Apparently the house of cards will fall down somewhere by the beginning of autumn, buried under a part of the Russian population and in addition a couple thousand vacationers, as it turns out “nobody sent”.

All the signs are that the Kremlin, by hook or by crook to squeeze out from Donbass. And here both military and policy act together, that pleases. And recently joined the business. So after meeting with the American Ambassador in Moscow, the Minister of economic development Ulyukayev said that Americans can buy all the strategic enterprises of Russia, is up for sale. And this “Rosneft”, VTB, etc. – all five main packages of the big sales. But the condition, of course one thing – Ukraine and Syria. And Yes – the price drops with each passing day.

In General, the closer to 2017, the more interesting, especially since the fall of 2016.

Victor Shevchuk. Russian Jewish.

Source: http://rusjev.net/

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