Many are now asking themselves about what is happening on the frontline of our troops and Russian-lovenduski terroristicheskikh troops.

Part 1

Some decided for themselves that the situation came to a remote corner and in addition to shootings, nothing happens. However, war definitely will not look the way it is actually. Not only the strategy and tactics of fighting is designed to deceive: the enemy, but even the appearance of military equipment is often dictated by this consideration.

We wrote a lot about new American aircraft stealthy describing the details of the technology and combat use. But if we just simplify to the domestic level, the billions of dollars spent on the creation of these machines should provide only one important condition. The enemy must not know that these aircraft are in dangerous proximity, and while you think you are safe, they already had shot you and took the opposite course. Here this idea is brought to the absolute, but it was extended more than 2 thousand years ago.

The great Chinese General sun Tzu formulated the basic tenets of warfare, which has not lost its relevance today. The above principle says that one should know the plans of the enemy and hide your intentions. It is clear that the editorial staff has no information regarding the intentions of the Mat, and if they had, he would not reveal them until the moment of realization. However, we can make an educated guess and draw conclusions from what is becoming public knowledge.

Russia has twice used the fact that we haven't imagined about her intentions, and had plans that do not meet the apparent situation. Roughly speaking, the enemy brought us into deception, and we did what he ought not to do. The first time, it is the use of the Russian armed forces in Crimea and the second time – the use of armed forces in the late summer of 2014. In fact, the surprise was in the direct use of staff of the army of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine. To this we were not ready. Now this card is played, and all the plans of VSU consider this possibility and there is plenty of evidence that steps are being taken to information the participation of Russian units to a minimum. Recently the chief of staff talked about some of the cases the use of artillery into the occupied territory. In particular, they talked about well become the next two echelons with ammunition and personnel. It happened at the railway station transfer, where, and flew gifts. Echelon with ammunition flew into the air and swept the neighboring echelon with servicemen of the Russian Federation. Our modestly silent, and we learned months later. Russians still are silent because they are not there. Moreover, neither the people nor ammunition. In fact – and so it was. After a successful arrival there really already.

We heard rumours about the rather frequent events of such a plan. It is worth remembering the powerful explosion at Donetsk chemical plant, where underground storage was posted the artillery Arsenal of all the Donetsk group. Now there is no Arsenal, no storage. Some even say that our used nuclear ordnance ultra low power, which seems unlikely. Just successfully got.

In addition, with surprising regularity, our artillerymen served the place of deployment of equipment and personnel from the armed forces of the Russian Federation. We all very well know, what ended the offensive at Marinka, in the past year. Much of the description of battles, deals with events in the Maryinka, where our troops successfully tapped the first echelon of the enemy. But the interesting thing was the author in the train, which consisted of Russian "vacationers". They had to go after cannon meat, collected from various trash and thrown to the slaughter. Now, the artillery worked very accurately the concentration of troops of the second echelon of the enemy and that was it. Instead of a strong offensive, the Russians were looking for a hard refrigerators for corpses, which are then transported to Rostov. Such events occurred under the Novoazovsk, Debaltsevo, Gorlovka, Yasinovataya and other places.

Moreover, the enemy observes that our artillery is running short volleys. This leads to the idea that the gunners already otrabotali tactics of "shock-waste", or a short volley enough to accurately cover the target without zeroing and mowing hectares of forest or houses. Bummed that destroyed and gone. The accuracy of our artillery already nervous survivors of the sculptors of the "Russian world".

But that's not all. Where the enemy is "insolence lost", there are raids by "unidentified DRG". The results of such raids is different. Sometimes it's a convoy of vehicles with military personnel especially Russians, sometimes taking fatty trophies, in the form of electromagnetic warfare equipment, the group goes in an unknown direction. And sometimes, someone gets tired of the "disturbing light" and make a RAID deep into occupied territory, in order to persuade shooters to calm down. There is evidence that persuasion often go without shooting – knives. But the result is a great, convince all shooters.

All this to the fact that the front end is a lot of interesting and active events, but writing about them doesn't make sense to a certain point, which will come soon. It is associated with when and how will the release of the captured territories. I hope no one should explain that such plans have been worked out? Under them already involve personnel, equipment and weapons. Roughly speaking, a conditional signal and the compressed spring begins to stretch.

Part 2

But back to sun Tzu. The great philosopher bequeathed to posterity to lead an active and comprehensive diplomatic work to raise the prestige of power, and facilitate the achievement of your goals. War, in his opinion, a last resort that can be applied in exceptional cases. However, he emphasized that the war must be quick and victorious. Long military epic was regarded sun Tzu as a defeat, for it drains the economy and decompose the army. If you cannot spend the short war, it should be avoided.

Indeed, even States never alone not to engage in war. They always form a coalition that takes on a significant part of the cost. Some members of the coalition troops did not even put up, but make large cash contributions. The Gulf countries – in the course. Americans are able to distribute the burden of military expenses between allies in the best way. For example, we can recall the United Kingdom, which only a few years ago paid the last dollar States, under the lend frame of the analysis during WWII.

Russia was involved directly in two wars and without a single ally. Iran doesn't count. This is another very sad song. Rather, the Iranians had their own interests in the Palestinian movement, Syria was important as a transit point. Here there was a partial overlap of interests. That is, all the burdens of wars of the Russian Federation draws your own!

Sometimes it seems that war and sanctions Putin caused intentionally to ensure that he had the answer to the question of where did $5 trillion, Russia received from oil and gas in the fat years. Now everything can be blamed on sanctions, defence and so on, and there is all classified. Thus he shifted the point of attention from their own ill-gotten hundreds of billions and tens of billions, stolen by his accomplices.

That is, each day of war is killing Russia's economy and the debauchery of the army, which turns into a huge money pump. It is for this reason war must be quick. By the way, who retired from the Russian General staff plans a large-scale invasion of Ukraine were designed just for 2 weeks of fighting. During this time Putin planned to reach the line of the Dnieper and fully capture the South region of Ukraine.

This is to ensure that the Russian military is also familiar with the writings of sun Tzu and other classics of the military art, which warn against prolonged offensive operations. In fact, Russia is forced to feed your lovenduski contingent of 40 thousand bayonets, and every riff-raff in the form of local "authorities". To appreciate the scale of this outrage, it is enough to imagine that each luganchanka military should give just 1 cartridge. This already gives an impressive load of 40 thousand rounds. But if one projectile? And on the same machine? But there are things that need feeding every day – fuel, food, etc. But there's more, and steal!

From this it follows that the main element of offensive combat, the surprise is already lost. The enemy is ready to fight and took a tight defense. By definition, offensive combat will be more expensive and not the fact that he will be successful. For this we need to choose best place and time to start the fight. With time – everything is bad. The more that time goes, the less beneficial it becomes an offensive battle, because it was originally an unarmed opponent is prepared for this fight. The place is also a problem. All possible avenues of attack are known and covered. Blitzkrieg will not work.

Moreover, he himself destroyed a strategic picture of this war. Putin frankly told, how he sees the coming war. He was going to lead their troops the second and third tier, and ahead were to serve women and children. This means that in the first echelon were to go to local residents, recruited into the occupying forces, and the rear was to move the occupying Russian army.

With this design I had to say goodbye once and for all. When we drive out the Russian invaders and with all of these events will be cleared of all the secrecy, I think it then becomes obvious the value of the event that we have forgotten. Maybe not forgotten, but no one gave him a well-deserved evaluation. When it's all over, the author will definitely make a pilgrimage to the city that broke the back of the aggressor. Sure, it's Odessa. The author will pay tribute to the brave inhabitants of Odessa who climbed under the pooling and forced Russian artists to where they belong – in hell. I believe that then the names of these courageous people from Odessa and not only Odessa, will be to name streets, squares and newly built vessels. There, in this beautiful city, Putin has seen that will not work to raise the cattle and toss it into the first echelon. People got up and did everything on their own, without teams and organizations. Here it is the people in its pure and perfect form. EMU do not need leaders or interpreters. He himself understands and makes the right. Obviously, this had quite a sobering effect on the Kremlin dreamers.

Meanwhile, the Ukrainian army came to combat condition and becomes what was supposed to be all the years of independence. And another element of surprise is gone forever. In the very first time. For many it was difficult to cross the barrier and kill the neighbors yesterday. Perhaps this played a role in Crimea. But now this factor has not disappeared. The occupier is destroyed with the greatest care and thoroughness of a true Ukrainian. Now the Russian is associated with cruel, treacherous and cowardly enemy, which is necessary not just to destroy, but to destroy themselves, posodobitve body didn't throw out any focus. It is now clear to everyone that the best invader is a dead invader.

Part 3

Based on all the specified in the previous two parts, it follows that Russia lost the moment of surprise, when we were almost not ready for war. The initial phase of hostilities really unfolded on the Kremlin's plans. Sent to Ukraine subversive groups became the nucleus around which began to concentrate immediately defected to the enemy militia, SBU and other law enforcement agencies. We wrote about it in a separate article, in relation to the Crimea. Then they began to join various adventurers and, of course – thugs, which is what the Donbas has always been awash under the top. These lads Akhmetov became the basis of cannon fodder. And now with these groups reached all sorts of rabble from the Russian Federation. They were stopped a few efficient parts of the armed forces, national guard, and volunteer units, which by their impudence exceeded all the worst expectations of the Kremlin. The first onslaught was repulsed, and immediately came the first successes, which belonged to awake the APU. In fact, in lovenduski the lads had no chance, everything had to end in the summer of 2014, but interfered with the regular army of the Russian Federation that was the second time when Moscow used the suddenness and when we had really difficult situation.

Now this feature is completely missed by the Kremlin. Army otmobilizovat and rearming, but now she is ready to confront exactly regular troops of the Russian Federation. Compact territory of Ukraine with a high population density, provides the ability to quickly mobilize a pretty large army. Now restored, the mechanisms to mobilize and dramatically changed the situation of the troops, equipment, weapons and other accoutrements. Moreover, along the Western borders of Ukraine, NATO has already created a base for storage of weapons that can be instantly deployed at the first threat of a wider war. The transfer was perfected during numerous scholar, constantly going to military landfills. American vehicles repeatedly crossing our borders and, interestingly, there are many photo and video materials confirming the input of this equipment in Ukraine and there is nothing like this in its output. Moreover, no one can say exactly what and how much was included for holding the scientist. Here is something to think about.

In any case, these two army corps, formed in Lugandan, is definitely not able to conduct major offensive event in standalone mode. For this they need * direct involvement of regular Russian troops. They are present in Lugandan and now, but they perform the role of a skeleton that hold the notorious case. Don't be purely Russian communications, electronic warfare, air defence, EXPLOSIVES and heavy artillery, these two groups of armed men would have turned into mere gangs that happened earlier. But the shock groups, it was the Russian troops there, and over time this ability becomes less and less real. This is true for the above mentioned reason: the Russian military has studied at the academies that teach the art of warfare and they are well aware that the moment is passed. If now or tomorrow to start to attack, then turn all the negative factors, which sun Tzu warned. The choice of time and place of the battle is lost, plans are already known and all of this seems difficult, long and bloody battle that would kill all resources available in Russia.And actually, with resources there is not so great as it is trying to represent. If there wasn't stealing and that would be difficult. As we have noted, even States alone avoid the fray and the active phase of the fighting they reduce to a minimum the amount of time. Russia simply can't afford a major war. As it wouldn't sound, but we will provide the machinery, weapons and everything else. Hands will be ours. If the Russians decide to get into a fight, we'll be beating personally, but on Western technology. Its already mastered by our experts, as part of many scholar. In other words, Ukraine is already connected to the bottomless resources of the West. In Moscow understand that.

It follows from this that Ukraine is completely ready for the cleansing of Lugandon, even with the given that the Russian Federation will bring its units. Likely to have prepared appropriate plans and countermeasures, about which few people know. It is possible that the widespread invasion of Ukraine now will not be unpunished of the border infrastructure of the Russian Federation. There is reason to believe that the war immediately has come to Russia itself, which was impossible to arrange 2 years ago.

I think that the main issue is not whether Russia will be able to strengthen lovendusky the grouping of his troops, and that's how to dislodge the occupier. It is obvious that Soviet methods of warfare. It uses the army of the Russian Federation and does not even think to change anything. It is demonstrated in Chechnya, the us and Syria. Russians consider acceptable the destruction of all the settlements in front of his front. Grozny and Aleppo – the best proof. We can't imagine this will, and after plans for the dismemberment of groups of the occupying forces is not enough. It is obvious that even a localized group of enemy will leave the city and hide behind civilians. We have seen in Slavyansk, which was to turn into rubble within a week. There's even a moustache Girkin no one could find. But we can't do this and Sloviansk was taken by punching at the enemy.

However, the tactic was not too effective though, because the million rests Donetsk to Makeyevka and forms a huge area of urban development that can have long and unsuccessfully hold in a siege. There is an opinion that is being worked out tactics of the street fighting of low intensity to avoid collateral damage, human and infrastructure. If people paid attention and the most intense exercise international forces are held in Yavoriv polygon. And there are training the national guard.Similar to what the army already knows what to do and just waiting for the teams, but the trimming cities will fall on the shoulders of NG.

It is very important that the population of these cities that consider themselves Ukrainians, too, were preparing for this development. Then when it's all over, it will be easy to go outside with flags of Ukraine, but first get rid of this rubbish from the streets of their native cities and everyone has to decide for themselves what he can do when it happens.

Little information about what the APU is about preparing for such a scenario, already circulating for some time. Moreover, individual units can claim that in principle, you can start tomorrow. This is evidenced by the very successful campaigns in enemy rear areas desperate individual units. The army felt the confidence and willingness to do what it exists. If this design is close to reality, local residents of the occupied regions have the opportunity to directly influence the timing of such events. For this we need a very strong desire and begin.

In any case, two years were marked by the large plus for the APU and under the fog of missed opportunities for Putin. To debate that is simply impossible.

Source: http://defence-line.org/

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