After a series of negotiations and marmot's Gryzlova, there was an informational vacuum about the results.
Hot on the heels of the Russians was noted by two, to a point. First. Gryzlov arrived in Kiev at the invitation of Poroshenko. Second. Surkov, after six hours of talks with Nuland had on his face a smile or even two. However, nothing else significant enthusiasm was not backed up. Except that Mr. Pushkov, his huge mouth, said that, in the absence of the Russian Federation, the PACE will be to put pressure on Ukraine. But here everything is clear, in Moscow any failure disguised as cleverly thought-out move. And here Russia just kicked out the door of the PACE, but remember not comme Il faut, it is better to fill this place puchkovskii fantasies.
No brave review even in the performance of duty talking heads, only added to the depth of the information vacuum. And here from different places around lovenduski come the inevitable rumors of another one darker. Some say that the financing "people's militia" is coming to a close, and some announce the arrival to Donetsk Moscow bosses with extremely unpleasant news. No one reads aloud to his essence, but commentators seriously are configured to the output of the "young republics". How it will actually — we'll see, but something you can understand now.
Initially Russia was supposed to give the initial impetus to the secessionist movement of Lugandan, and then everything should go on their own until then while the "militia" and "volunteers" will not work, at least on the line of the Dnieper. Then you could type the occupation forces under the guise of peacekeepers and to tell stories about humanitarian aid. This impulse had real content. In the first place — weapons. Recall that in Russian was created several powerful factories for recycling of ammunition with the shelf life or to equipment taken out of service. In addition, for conservation were tens of thousands of tanks, cannons, mortars, and other goodness. It's not just been stripped of weapons, and really ate up funds for the organization of this store. Thus, the flood of Lugandona of arms and ammunition cost is not expensive. Just had to provide transportation to the place. In addition, the Russian Federation successfully disposed of the protest part of the electorate. Organized the recruitment and transfer of "volunteers", Moscow flaw of mass protesters, the most active part and threw them into a meat grinder.
What the protests are coming — no doubt. You should carefully look at the preparations of the Kremlin elite. So, four times his purchase order special grenade launchers that are designed for non-lethal stun munitions and gas exposure. This is one of many examples of training is to mass protests. In addition, do not forget the rule of law adopted in late December, which allows you to open fire on defeat on the accumulation of protesting citizens. If the reality of protests is minimal, these measures are simply not needed. Obviously, it's time to care not about Donetska, and about closer and prosaic things. At all has no money.
So, Moscow has provided arms, ammunition and mercenaries of the very beginning of the aggression. Over and above that provided financing activities in the amount of several billion dollars. In General, these amounts should have been spent on fees and bribing the right people. This component was estimated at $1 billion per year. But you've got to understand that the actual cost will be at least twice higher than those that were not able to find. The scheme obespechennoi unaccountable funding, lays the conditions for mass theft. Even mother Russia, raspille-sliding component is recognized at the level of 50%, in lugandoniya there, this figure will be much higher. But even so, this sum should be doubled. Plus, it will go to fuel costs and other things. In the end, the amount would be very impressive.
Now, it was originally planned that the main function of the Russian Federation will provide weapons, ammunition and volunteers. On the spot it was supposed to act independently. Summer 2014 showed that Moscow did not bet on those people. Without strict control, they arrange rampant offshore-robbing activities and expect them to throw to the Dnieper. Therefore, the degree of intensity was raised and took place the entry of regular Russian troops. This triggered an increase in costs and the inability to conduct offensive operations, yielded significant reputational loss.
And at the end of 2015, formed a situation of zugzwang, when offensive actions are impossible in principle. Has long lost the effect of surprise, which was connected the main hopes. During this time Ukraine has resulted in the relative order of his army and now the war will have only positional in nature, with certain movements. To stand on the spot — too bad. The second year of sanctions and counter-measures on the oil market didn't just pluck a resource to effectively conduct combat operations, but also dragged the situation is much below the mark of stability. Now just doing nothing, the situation itself will get worse and worse. The worst thing for Russia is the absence of any prospect of any improvement. That is, any sane person can take and plot the basic indicators of the Russian Federation since the beginning of 2014 to this day. Based on the obtained consistent trends, these graphs can be extended into 2016 and about to see what was going to happen.
Against this background, it becomes clear that the end of 2015 marked the end of illusions about the prospects of Lugandon and even the Crimea. The occupation authorities right now torrablout everything. Doing so on one occasion, when forced to leave. Can't see the stoned lovers to war. Russia was the expectation that luganchanka the authorities themselves will decide the question of funding a local militia, running the industry and trade. But it did not work out and Donetsk, along with Luhansk, has become a classic suitcase without a handle.
Returning to the message flow from lugandan, which is now, it is enough to allocate a single subject. There are now very popular to discuss the terms of a possible Amnesty. Local "militias" are based on some of his sources say about the following. Moscow now agrees that from criminal responsibility to bring teachers and doctors, with the involvement of crime, "the police" and "authorities" there have already resigned. That is, lucantoni first try to look into tomorrow without his fantasies, and find it tomorrow not at all like it seemed in the beginning.
It is believed that to sit in the camps and work in the "institutionalized" they are not very smiling. Moreover, they are already accustomed to solve their problems with weapons. In this case, they still have only two choices — to give the final battle of the SCU and depart in the Russian Federation. As for the last battle, in this case, the front end will be is not the same army that even right now there. While relative calm has been replenished with new equipment, personnel and the main thing — to undertake a number of exercises at the highest level, where there was a solidification of our land forces. It will be another war and with other results for yet another reason. Russia forced to withdraw its regular troops. There is a suspicion that this news would expect from Moscow the messenger. In this case, those who dare to war, must go to the notary and handle all their property deeds, for then it will be too late.
But the option of waste in the Russian Federation gives the opportunity to be with weapons, knowledge and skills in vague, but still fat and warm Russia, which will be an opportunity to apply your skills with a tangible material benefit. The main thing — to pass the border. In the depths of the Russian Federation are not used to kill seems to be their, it's not Ukraine. So at first you can easily make the "people's republics" in the Rostov, Volgograd, Voronezh and other areas. Moreover, if they stay here too long too long, it will make without them and the cream will pass by, and then sooner or later, death by bullet. But while the choice is.
Source: http://defence-line.org/
МБФ "СЛАВА УКРАЇНІ" / ICF "GLORY TO UKRAINE" / FIB "GLOIRE À L'UKRAINE"
