The information war between Russia and Ukraine has moved into the presidential administration in Kiev and Moscow

Threatened if the Russian President his Ukrainian colleague? After appearing in media reports about a telephone conversation with Vladimir Putin and Petro Poroshenko - Yes even in the presence of the Russian Ambassador Mikhail Zurabov representatives of the President's circle, this time not anonymous, had to hurry to refute not only the fact of the threats, but the presence of the head of the Russian representative office during the conversation. To this can only mean that the information war moved and the presidential administration. There are those who want to give the public an idea of some new threat to Putin (it is clear that the true content of the speech of the President nobody knows and all messages about who is who threatened - speculation), there are those who are not inclined to overestimate the consequences of Putin's irritation. Actually, this alignment of forces in the environment Poroshenko, paradoxically, fully duplicates the balance of power in Putin's team. Among the people who are now next to the President of Russia there are those who want immediate “victorious war" in Ukraine, and even better - in the post-Soviet space, including the Baltic States - and there are those who understand the destructiveness of this approach and tries to bring Putin's ambitions to launch political processes in the Donbass.

People around Poroshenko in Kiev who are trying to create in us a sense of Putin's anger and "fast approach", react to signals from the Russian party of war. One who is not inclined to exaggerate the danger, react to signals of Putin's peace party. Because officials communicate with officials and businessmen with businessmen and each operates information from your circle of contacts and exaggerates its ability to determine presidential decisions both in Moscow and in Kiev, creates a completely distorted picture. And in this sense is not exactly any value not only the reliability of the information about threatened if Putin Poroshenko or not. Didn't matter what was said Putin in particular a telephone conversation, as the plans of the Russian President and the tone of his communication with his Ukrainian counterpart - as with other leaders change from day to day and depend on a number of factors: oil prices, exchange rate, the impact of one group or another in his environment or just a passing mood. Once again we have to repeat what we try to explain to colleagues and readers over the past two decades - and is unlikely to succeed: the worst way to understand what happens in politics is the search for sources in the presidential administration. It is best to use common sense.

And common sense dictates that Putin's literally nowhere to come. Well I will say it Poroshenko that will go to Mariupol, “cut through” corridor to the Crimea. I'll even admit that Russian troops will actually be sent on such an operation. And then-what? How it actually changes the situation? Not going to remind you of the hundreds, if not thousands of victims of this adventure on both sides, including civilians aggressor such reminders, of course, will not be frightened, to sacrifice him to spit on it, and Putin. But even if Mariupol operation succeeds troops invasion, for Russia, it will be the real disaster. Because in the occupied region will be much more people who will not receive money from the Ukrainian budget. Because land routes to the Crimea does not mean its smooth functioning. Because in terms of decreasing oil prices, Russia simply cannot afford the additional costs. Now let us add to these difficulties inevitable in the case of occurrence of new EU sanctions and the U.S. - and that will get the output? The collapse? Putin may be similar to the suicide, but not to such an extent.

It is in this logic can think of Western policy, which in recent days have begun to propose plans for a political settlement in Ukraine - from Steinmeier up Rompuy. They understand that Putin after Australia reached an impasse and frantically looking for some way out. And instead, he has not chosen a major war on the territory of NATO countries, they offer him the opportunity of saving face in the form of “decentralization” and even “federalization” of Ukraine. But again, in order to start real negotiations concerning the Ukrainian settlement, Putin will have to go on the restoration of the territorial integrity of our country - including not only the Donbas and the Crimea. Western politicians just can not understand how it is unacceptable for the Russian President. And so all of their proposals and initiatives they have absolutely no value. They believe that they must help Putin to save face, and Putin himself is confident that his face was all good and bad with further action on the Ukrainian and European direction. They think he wants to retreat, but do not know how - and Putin really wants to come, but do not know where.

Now, actually, we were respirable that Putin was trying to convey to Peter Alekseevich.

Source: http://www.liga.net/