Well it's the final piece of “gathering lands”. Everything became clear after oil falls below $ 50, and import products in Russia demonstration started to press tractors. What's next?
Surprisingly, in early August coincided with several events. Let's order. Iran enters the market of oil and gains access not only to credit in the West, but also major investments. What is changed is not yet important in Iran want to live in the Emirates, and in 10-15 years it will happen. China has allowed a railway line bypassing Russia on a “new silk road” – it is not surprising that in Odessa plans to significantly expand transportation terminals. Ukrainian ports are ready to work in two directions – from Europe to Asia and from Asia to Europe. Terminals expand in the face of destruction sanctions products tractors in Russia.
And here's another as inappropriate for Russia in the U.S. suddenly storages of oil was overfilled so that it is urgent to sell, and sell to Europe. Yes, and Saudi Arabia amid falling oil prices will not reduce, but to increase oil production. It is understandable – the fall in energy prices long-running trend in 5-10 years. Why? Because in the U.S. analysts have calculated the benefit from the “print” oil on its own territory – this will significantly revive the economy. Obama wants to leave not only a peacemaker, but the President, who brought the American economy out of stagnation, and it looks like he gets it. And then suddenly collapses China's stock market! Let's think about how and who went down? Yes, that's right – the one who warmed it up, and it's definitely not the Chinese government. For a moment let's think – why would they do that? Very simple – that of the growth of the American economy investor rushed from China to USA. However an interesting trend for the next decade. This is against the background of new energy technologies and industrial 3D printerbase? Believe technological surprises are just beginning.
And that in Russia? Gazprom and Rosneft are actually bankrupt. And the event horizon for them at the end of 2015, over the horizon. The fact that the Outlook for lifting sanctions against Russia and the possibility of narashite sale of oil and gas in the next 5 years. Prices are falling, new pipelines will be built after 7 years, unless of course there are money. Sechin has informed the President that in Russia there will be problems with the production of gasoline, because “if the price of oil to $ 40 in Russia to produce gasoline unprofitable”.
And the army increased. Besides burning the whole of Siberia, which probably is not stewed, and someone is always ignites. I wonder who? In Siberia, China has leased the land for 50 years more than Crimea and Donbas together. Is the rent per year is less than 1 (one) American fighter. And then suddenly begin to arrest in Europe and Russia's property by a court order of YUKOS. Champion arrests – France, “our old reliable friend.” Too easy to guess why – because in Moscow snowblower was “accidentally” shot down by the President of the largest energy companies of France's TOTAL. The French are not fools – this is not the Kaczynski plane, “bad weather conditions”, they didn't believe.
And here's the icing on the cake on the background of sanctions, oil prices, arrest of property of the state and the oligarchs – the national debt. Peak corporate and government payments are due at the end of August – beginning of September and December. That is, you must pay a round sum. But the money abroad under arrest, really the stabilisation Fund of Russia is not 300, and $ 150 billion. And want to eat everything. While Russia is fighting in Ukraine, but also opened a “second front” in the Caucasus, where an increased number of insurgents in Dagestan and Chechnya. ISIL, which has spawned not without the help of the FSB and GRU suddenly appeared in the South of Russia.
What will happen in Russia in the autumn can be called a Domino effect, and as the Russians say “really want to eat, and something all is lost.” This will be especially noticeable in remote area of Russia on the background of fatty Moscow. Dear Russians, everything will happen like this. After receiving regular vacationers in Chita (by the way outskirts of the city has burned down due to fire) in a zinc coffin parents “kriminala” one morning will not find in the usual shops products. And “vacationers” in Ukraine in late 2015, thanks to the help of “the aggressive NATO bloc” will destroy the new technology – remotely.
But don't care about “vacationers” and “Parmesan” is the result of a rupture of budget and panic in the grocery market in Siberia, in the North, in the black earth is no Parmesan to be in October. And when the dollar 120, and imported potatoes from Byelorussia delicacy. And the first food riots will begin in December on the periphery. Moscow certainly will send troops to Siberia and to the North, and will suppress all but you need something to solve it. And the main question will not stand on the withdrawal of troops from Donbass, the main question – “Crimea is ours”, and here Putin rests a horn, since the sudden return of Crimea to Ukraine, it's all love and catastrophe. As an option – will offer reparations, and not $ 100 billion in may, and much more – about 200 or 300. And Ukraine will trade, but would not agree, because more interesting.
I want to immediately dispel the naive 86% “Kremnica” who believe that everything can be returned back if the itch in the words of my favorite author:
"Sometimes I read any of the analysts, and I especially like those who write about the strategy "Anaconda" used by the civilized world against Cataplana – slow strangulation, do not involve any sudden movements. However, we at the Department are smarter than any analysts, and say so right – we sho do with Russia, it's not "Anaconda" is "Lizard". This is to take a chunk out of the ass of the victim, and keep a safe distance behind wobbly from the blood loss and sepsis horse, waiting until she will die quietly.
Sanctions are not the sled, they will not deploy the rope. Sho, someone who really thinks that if tomorrow Raisa Vladimirovna will be good, will get it cut and obtuse nails, specially for her will tighten up oil prices, so it does not coughed? Or instantly reimbursed reputational loss? Will meet people and say, "Well it fuck those Norwegians, let's back Russia to buy out what they CACI steel!" They see halosarcia...
Sanctions, as analogous to amputation, cause at first an inconvenience to both parties. Only then one side heals and grows, and the other rots and poisons. And to change anything in this scenario it is not interested convalescent side. In the same self-evidence how is consciousness it is assumed that the cut off foot you can sew fro much anywhere, as long claws on the toes to obtusity and pedicure done.”
My dear beloved “Russian liberals”, perepisyvayas with me periodically with pathos and compassion. No you ago faucet will not turn off (it just won't work) and the money is not returned, at least in the foreseeable future. Even if you now return the Crimea. By the time this happens, Russia will again in 1991 after the reform Pavlov and GKCHP 2.0 UM. Or rather – the point of no return you've gone in the last year under the Illovaysk and Torez. And therefore – good luck to you, be reserved by December, salt and matches. A big Hello from London, where we discuss with partners the new project “Intermarium”.
Victor Shevchuk. Russian Jew.
Source: http://rusjev.net/
