Putin tired to step on a rake, and he decided to jump.
And not on some Russian leader carefully trying to jump immediately to the two items of agricultural equipment. Apparently, according to the distorted logic of the Kremlin, it would cause worldwide fear and respect, will lead to a sharp rise in oil prices and the lifting of sanctions. The fact that the running of Russia in the rake, until recently, caused solely malevolent laughter, decided not to take.
After yesterday's destruction of the Turkish air force Russian bomber SU-24 the General staff of the Russian Federation decided to increase the aviation group in the region the fighters. Another 10-12 cars. Now each of 24 Russian bombers will fly in support of the fighter. In principle, Turkish f-16 don't care how many border crossers to bring down during one flight – one or two. The number of units of the parties is still incomparable, and the strengthening of Russian group has almost no effect on the ratio. By the way, the Russian General staff would immediately send additional helicopters, the rebels will be happy. Because helicopters were only four, and today, after the flight to Latakia, there are three – you can safely send.
The most important thing in this conflict is not even aviation, and that Russia against his will drawn into a ground war. So yesterday in the North Syrian province of Latakia during an operation in search of the Navigator of the downed su-24 has already occurred in the battle between the government forces of dictator Bashar al-Assad, which covered the Russian group, and the rebels. And since Russian aircraft have bombed ISIL is not, and Turkmen and all the rebels against Assad, Afghanistan is repeated almost in the old scenario. To protect the air bases and flying them jets need to control a decent area around, because terrorists with MANPADS will be happy to join the game of the Turkish air force in a "shoot the intruder". And a ground operation in the region to the Russian Federation – excessive burden from the point of view of logistics.
For this reason, any conflict with Turkey on the ground or in the air initially assumes the unenviable role for Russian troops. Delivery of reinforcements and ammunition by air and by sea too costly for Russia, and the loss of time is also an important factor. In Turkey the situation is much simpler – here near the border. Ally of the Turkish army, which is at least not inferior to the Russian (and maybe surpasses) acts of NATO. The Kremlin from allies Venezuela and other DNR with Ossetia. Grief, but not allies. The outcome of any conflict a foregone conclusion, but included a "back" in the Kremlin are afraid because of internal politics and forced to jump on the same rake. And rake good – with a titanium handle.
Meanwhile, the DPR militants shelled Avdiivka from "Gradov", the OSCE has already recorded these facts. That is a clear violation of the Minsk agreements is recognized as, and therefore the sanctions against Russia nobody will remove it. And about the "tractor" and "miners" talk is useless – don't believe. War on two fronts is always a gamble, especially when economy falls "rapid Jack" in the country, protests, and in Dagestan has in fact a military operation. Oil will not increase, the sanctions will remain, and then there's the Ukrainian Prime Minister Yatsenyuk gave the order to stop to buy gas from Russia. Formally, because the EU is cheaper, but the main reason is to create an extra hole in the budget of the aggressor. Ukrainian mistake, which the Kremlin also jumps, will also contribute to the educational process.
Thus, Russia gets deeper once in two adventures, is not only without allies, but in the real ring of enemies. Against the catastrophic prospects in the economy and the lack of the slightest chance to change things for the better. Question – "will not Hold the patient until spring?" is becoming more controversial.
МБФ "СЛАВА УКРАЇНІ" / ICF "GLORY TO UKRAINE" / FIB "GLOIRE À L'UKRAINE"
